Sunday, January 16, 2022

World alert! China's economy is in free fall


Dec 7, 2021 video says or implies: Insane property bubble bursts. Many halt new investments. Major U.S. investment firms are holding the bag, and won't be able to divest fast enough, before they lose your shirt. U.S. big biz China money grubbers are going down the tubes, right now. Their influence in Washington is OVER! The CIA scrambles to stay afloat as anti-communist backlash hits.

A Jan. 13 Bloomberg report notes:
“If we call the past decade a golden age for the real estate industry, it is now trapped in the age of rust,” said Li Kai, Beijing-based founding partner of bond fund Shengao Investment, which specializes in distressed debt.

That transition promises to be especially painful for privately owned developers like China Evergrande Group that have already saddled international stock and credit investors with billions of dollars in losses.

While few analysts are predicting an imminent financial meltdown, risks from the real estate market are growing. Weaker property companies are under immense stress, hit by a double whammy of punishingly high borrowing costs and slumping sales. Lower-rated developers including Evergrande are already defaulting on dollar debt at record rates and contagion is spreading to stronger companies. Shares and bonds of Country Garden Holdings Co., China’s largest developer by sales, sank Thursday following a report it struggled to find demand for a new convertible bond.
The claim that few analysts foresee an imminent crash should be taken with a grain of salt. The U.S. economy nosedived when the 2008 real estate bubble burst. And China's real estate bubble is far more overblown than the U.S. bubble of 2008. What we have here is a Wall Street attempt to wave off the full impact of the current tailspin because so much U.S. investment has been committed to Chinese endeavors.

The severity of the Evergrande disaster was seen Dec. 31, when China's central bank leapt into action to try to stem the hemmorhage. Its stock went up briefly a few days later, but despite heroic efforts by the communist government, Evergrande is headed for bankruptcy, kindly characterized as downsizing and restructuring. But clearly the continuing hits taken by investors in China's largest real estate company is not the end of the story. The entire civil economy is linked to the preposterous system caused by bizarre communist regulations.

According to the Securities and Exchange Commission, "A Ponzi scheme is an investment fraud that pays existing investors with funds collected from new investors. Ponzi scheme organizers often promise to invest your money and generate high returns with little or no risk."

This is an organized investment bubble that must someday collapse, either because of market saturation or by red flags setting off distrust.

Another sort of investment bubble follows a similar pattern. Investopedia relates, "Because speculative demand, rather than intrinsic worth, fuels the inflated prices, the bubble eventually but inevitably pops, and massive sell-offs cause prices to decline, often quite dramatically. In most cases, in fact, a speculative bubble is followed by a spectacular crash in the securities in question."

An investment bubble can be driven by an excess of exuberance, in which current investors spread the "good news," thus driving up desirability -- which carries a higher price sticker -- but not intrinsic value. That is, what would the value of the item be based on actual need rather than anticipated investment return?

Real estate bubbles turn out to be a recurring problem because of the ordinary person's belief that real property is "always" a safe investment. Thus demand for properties by investors begins to exceed demand by people who want to buy a house to live in or a building for their small business. (In the 2008 bubble, federal "red line" rules resulted in a market distortion that eventually went catastrophic.)

In China, the communists have made it almost impossible for the ordinary person to invest in anything but real estate. This has led to a supersaturation of the market with eager money. The purported value of property has now shot up to 50 times that of its intrinsic value, say experts. Such overvaluation is unsustainable, which is why a huge, rolling domino effect is wiping out investments, savings and businesses in China. Foreigners with major holdings in China are pretty much out of luck, though there is bound to be an exception or two to that outcome that proves the rule.

How weird is the Chinese real estate market? Weird enough that developers, up until recently, were routinely building sham cities composed of shell buildings lacking electricity, plumbing, elevators or other modern essentials. These shams were thrown up so that sales people could say there was "something there" for a would-be investor. The investors were so confident the value would rise, they put their money down! Only now they aren't, because communism's Ponzi scheme has -- as any noncommunist economist could have forewarned the resolute Marxists running the country -- inevitably hit FAIL!

Wikipedia piece on Cathie Wood, a China disaster soothsayer:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cathie_Wood
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Trump thumps Jan. 6 panel as 'Stalinist show trial'

Saturday, January 15, 2022

Isn't RFK Jr. just awful?

He actually has a mind of his own.

You'd think that that would be a good thing for an environmental lawyer. But he has offended his class, which accepts the brainwashing by the ruling elite (whoever they may be).

What are these offenses?

Well, for one, he is a (gasp!) conspiracy theorist! He thinks someone other than Sirhan Sirhan actually killed his dad, Robert F. Kennedy, who had just won the California primary. Oh, dear. WHO would want such an outcome? Maybe the same people who arranged the hit on RFK's brother, John F. Kennedy?

Washington Post piece on why RFK Jr. sees an injustice
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/retropolis/wp/2018/05/26/who-killed-bobby-kennedy-his-son-rfk-jr-doesnt-believe-it-was-sirhan-sirhan/

Then there is his record as a vaccine critic. He and Robert De Niro promoted the notion that the mercury used in some vaccines was hazardous to some children. They were widely scorned (was Big Pharma behind that putdown push?). But consider that mercury is a heavy metal which is really not something one wants in her or his body. Trace amounts could conceivably trigger bad reactions in small children. Interestingly, vaccines made in this country no longer contain mercury.

And, by the way, should we not give this man some credit based on his specialty: environmental law, which implies he is used to doing his homework on the impacts of heavy metals.

The New York Times recently smeared him as a vaccine misinformer. Why? Because he's going up against the misinformer-in-chief, Anthony Fauci, and Fauci's so-terribly-trustworthy allies, the vaccine makers. Never fear! The fighting Irishman has a new book out: "The Real Anthony Fauci."

The positions Kennedy has espoused on covid mandates and vaccines are in line with those of numerous scientists and medics, including the Republican senator, Dr. Rand Paul. But because these positions do not follow the official line, Kennedy is ranked with the "misinformers."

Gee, how history repeats itself: Experts are intimidated by federal control of grants to maintain silence in the face of a federal propaganda blitz abetted by the often-hidden masters of the media. Courageous, truthful critics are smeared by every means possible. Let's see, when else did that happen? Oh yeah. The JFK assassination, the RFK assassination, the Martin Luther King assassination, 9/11, the anthrax attacks, the runup to the Iraq war (though that propaganda blitz eventually failed), George W. Bush's second "election," and Joe Biden's purported election.

Medicare patients face even longer waits
as anti-vax docs prepare to drop them

The potential for a massive cutoff of Medicare and Medicaid patients by their anti-vaccine doctors is in the air.

The New York Times gives the example of Dr. Calvin Blount, who has practiced family medicine for more than 20 years in Destin, Fla. He said there are still too many unanswered questions about the long-term impact of the vaccine. Now, he is facing a new federal policy that could undermine his practice. More than half his 420 patients use Medicare.

“For myself and the majority of my patients, the vaccine is a 'hell no',” said the 53-year-old physician. “Quite honestly, I don’t know what is going to happen. We have a federal law that contradicts the state law, and we don’t know which side will prevail. If the federal ruling prevails, my options are to get the vaccination, which I am not going to do, or I will be forced to give up my patients who are on Medicare.”

Despite the court ruling, the Times reported, many nursing homes urged the administration to rethink the requirement and instead allow them the option of testing workers.

“When we are in the midst of another Covid surge, caregivers in vaccine-hesitant communities may walk off the job because of this policy, further threatening access to care for thousands of our nation’s seniors,” said Mark Parkinson, chief executive of the American Health Care Association, which represents nursing homes.

Google Search is worthless; only simpletons use it

Only a very naive person uses it anymore for anything controversial. Google gives you the results it wants you to have and bars or buries results that its elitist and communist friends dislike.

It is not a search engine. It is a brainwash engine. Its job is to make up your mind for you.

A few alternatives:

Dogpile
DuckDuckGo
Gibiru
Bing

There are a number of others, though Google and Bing power them.

No engine is immune from the technique of burying politically unwanted results.

Though Bing tends to be far better than Google about squelching controversial sites, that is not saying much. Bing will stifle results for political reasons.

Thursday, January 13, 2022

Flawed decision on health worker mandate

The top court agreed today that the government had authority to require most health workers to receive covid vaccinations.

The flaw occurs when the top court accepts that the government is deploying "good faith" expertise, which is clearly not the case. It would have been better for the court to have remanded the case back to a lower court, with the instruction that it use a special master to examine the government's claims that vaccination would do much good under current circumstances.

Forcing people to be vaccinated because "you never know, it might work" constitutes an outrageous abuse of power.

The evidence showing that extra doses (boosters) of old vaccines have much impact against omicron is sketchy.

In a major sign of bad faith, the government is avoiding talking about these important points:

✔ The United States has reached herd immunity for the beta and delta variants. That is, on average every person infected with beta or delta transmits it to less than one other person. Unless you are a lab worker handling live beta and delta samples, once herd immunity has been reached there is no reason at all for vaccination.

✔ The omicron virus -- which is generally milder than the first two variants -- is sweeping the nation so fast that is pointless to rush to mass vaccination, especially when the current vaccines are only mildly helpful, if they are helpful, against omicron.

✔ The administration's claim that the unvaccinated are spreading covid is unproved. Beta and delta are not spreading. Omicron is spreading through vaccinated people at a high rate. That's because the old vaccines are not tailored for omicron. Now if the old vaccines slow down the transmission of omicron, how much hard evidence is at hand to back that claim up? Have you ever heard a government health expert tell you how much old vaccines slow down general transmission of omicron? No, that concept is avoided. That's because there is very little evidence to hand that would verify the government's implicit assumption.

Wednesday, January 12, 2022

NBC: Biden's covid policy in shambles

NBC News: Covid confusion roils White House
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/we-have-gone-backwards-covid-confusion-snarls-biden-white-house-n1287282

Biden group running way behind on covid policy
as omicron surges across nation, say critics

NBC might have asked whether Biden's push in the Supreme Court for a vaccine mandate has already been overtaken by events. Omicron is racing through the country so fast that there is little likelihood that a vaccine can be developed in time that would make any difference. There seems to be little evidence that using boosters of the old vaccines will help much against the new variant.

The old variants are passe for a reason: Herd immunity has been reached for both of them. That is, on average, anyone infected with an old variant is likely to infect less than one other person. In other words, those variants have fizzled out. So what is the point of demanding vaccinations against those variants? Yes, Dr. Anthony Fauci and his flunkies insist that boosters probably help anyway against new variants. Yet the only way he can gather reliable data is to use the American people as guinea pigs.

Yet, do we need a vaccine mandate that gives the federal government the right to make working people guinea pigs?

Psychotronic mind games