Wednesday, October 5, 2022

Kherson retreat a 'disaster' -- Russian reporter

'Abundantly watered with the blood of our soldiers'

A Russian combat correspondent, Roman Saponkov, wrote today on social media:
Friends, I know that you expect me to comment on the situation. However, I really don't know what to tell you. The retreat from the north of the right bank of the Kherson region is a disaster. Vysokopolye, Lyubimovka, Bolshaya Aleksandrovka, Davydov Ford... these places were abundantly watered with the blood of our soldiers. I just want to say support to our guys. We believe in you and are proud of you. And don't pay attention to the individuals who root for you as the Russian national football team.

Severe losses for Russian recon unit

The following is a machine translation of a BBC Russia report
The BBC has learned that elite Russian military formations took part in the operation for the unsuccessful defense of the Estuary, and they suffered serious losses. At least nine people were killed and one seriously wounded during the retreat from the Estuary, the 3rd Guards Special Purpose Brigade of the Main Directorate of the General Staff, the BBC found out after studying social networks and talking with the sister of one of the dead fighters.

Such military formations have been sent to the most important military tasks since Soviet times. While the Russian army was retreating from this city in the Donetsk region, Russian propaganda said that it was being defended by mobilized from the self-proclaimed LNR and Russian volunteers from the Bars detachments that are being formed in the regions.

"The entire third special forces brigade was destroyed by the special forces. Thrown into a meat grinder. How beautiful he is. 19 years old."

"While performing tasks on the territory of Ukraine, my brother died heroically. Eternal memory to you, my little heart, my hero!"

"They reported very sad news for me! My brothers, friends, true comrades in the service and just good men died. I will miss you!"

"We ask for prayers for the repose of the warrior Vyacheslav (Zintsov), a graduate of the boarding school at the Nikolo-Shartom Monastery. He died in the Red Estuary."

On September 30 and October 1, a number of messages appeared on the VKontakte social network, which said that the retreat of the Russian army from the city of Liman, Donetsk region, was not as easy as the official Russian media reported, and not only volunteers from Russia or mobilized residents of the self-proclaimed republics that Vladimir Putin tried to defend the city. Putin by that time declared the territory of Russia.

"Eight people were killed, two were seriously injured. One of them died, one is still alive, but very heavy. The whole group almost died. The guys are real heroes. It's just a pity that there are no more of these heroes," the sister of one of the dead servicemen told the BBC, confirming that during the retreat from the Estuary, the 3rd special Forces brigade of the General Staff of Togliatti lost the department. "A total of nine people were killed, two wounded," said the wife of another victim.

Their relatives do not have complete information about the place and circumstances of the death of the paratroopers, they receive fragmentary information: "I know that these guys were abandoned there, they fought back for a whole day, but they could not. My brother died, he was only 21 years old, his friend died, he was 19 years old," the sister of the deceased said. The families do not yet know when the bodies of the servicemen will be returned home and when the funeral will take place.

Nineteen-year-old Private Danil Boikov was the youngest in this department, senior Lieutenant Vyacheslav Zintsov, Junior Lieutenant Viktor Gorobets, petty officers Andrey Shorin and Yuri Filatov, Private Alexey Chindin died with him. Servicemen Karpenko and Uzbyakov were taken to the hospital with serious injuries. Uzbyakov later died.

This is probably the largest single loss of the 3rd Special Forces Brigade, although it has suffered losses since the beginning of the war: "Of course, there were [losses], but does anyone tell us about it," said the sister of one of the victims.

As far as is known from open sources, the first soldiers of the 3rd GRU brigade died in early March. Before the retreat from the Estuary, the most difficult days for the brigade were the days from March 3 to March 4 - then four scouts were killed: company commander Major Azamat Alimov, Captain Alexey Chuchmanov, junior Sergeant Stanislav Gerasimov and junior Sergeant Egor Bukatin.

What do we know about Russia's losses during Ukraine's counteroffensive? Kaliningrad Marines were captured near Balakleya. What does this say about the offensive of the Ukrainian army? Elite specialists. Who exactly has the Russian army lost in Ukraine

BBC journalists, Mediazones (recognized in Russia as a "foreign agent") and a group of volunteers have been counting the dead Russian servicemen on the basis of open sources since the first day of the war. By September 1, journalists had collected data on 26 dead servicemen of the 3rd Guards Special Forces Brigade, among whom there were five officers, by mid-September, an unusual but important source of information turned out to be a stand with photos of dead military personnel exhibited during the Russian Armed Forces boxing championship in Borisoglebsk. The data of 47 dead soldiers and officers of the 3rd Guards Brigade of the GRU Special Forces were printed on it.

After reviewing the photos on the stand, the BBC found out that the names of most of the mentioned commandos had previously appeared in the media and social networks, but without specifying the place of service. There were also photos of two GRUSHNIKOV on the stand, whose death had not previously been publicly reported. Now at least nine new surnames have been added to this list.

And then, and now, almost every fourth GRU special forces soldier killed is an officer. Such losses are especially sensitive for the army and difficult to recover. You can only replace a special forces officer with a person with the same specialty and level of training, and this takes years of training and training.

According to the expert of the American Center for Naval Analysis Michael Kofman, for every Russian soldier killed during the war in Ukraine, there are on average about three and a half wounded. Based on these data, it can be assumed that more than 200 people could have left the ranks of the 3rd GRU Special Forces Brigade as a result of death or injury (at least temporarily).

The exact number of special forces units is classified. But even according to conservative estimates, the elimination of more than 200 fighters may be equivalent to the complete failure of two companies of special forces. During the war in Chechnya, the intelligence companies of the GRU special forces numbered 45-70 people each. If we take such an assessment as a basis, it is possible that 75% of the brigade's reconnaissance companies have been disabled.

The 3rd GRU Brigade, which is now commanded by Colonel Albert Omarov, was created in 1966 in the GDR. From January 1991 to June 1992, she was stationed in Riga, and then was relocated to the village of Roshchinsky in the Samara region. In 2010, the brigade moved to Togliatti. The brigade's servicemen took part in the civil war in Tajikistan, two Chechen campaigns, a peacekeeping mission in Kosovo, and in the early 2000s guarded Russian missions in Kabul, Afghanistan. In August 2017, the brigade lost two of its soldiers in Syria.

Scandalous for the 3rd brigade of the GRU turned out to be 2015, when two Russian citizens Yevgeny Yerofeyev and Alexander Alexandrov were captured near the city of Happiness in the Luhansk region. During the interrogation, they stated that they were soldiers of the 3rd Guards Brigade. The Russian side, which at that time denied the presence of its troops in the east of Ukraine, said that these servicemen had left long ago and fought on the side of the "people's militia of the LPR" as volunteers.

In April 2016, Yerofeyev and Alexandrov were sentenced to 14 years in prison in Ukraine, and a month later they were exchanged for Ukrainian pilot Nadezhda Savchenko, whom the Russian side accused of involvement in the death of the VGTRK film crew. Nothing was reported about the fate of Yerofeyev and Alexandrov, and Savchenko then managed to visit the deputy of the Verkhovna Rada, a person involved in a criminal case and a journalist.

The Russian media almost never report on operations involving the special forces of the General Staff, sometimes it becomes known after the fact if the operation is successful, and in the case of the war in Ukraine and if we are talking about the retreats of the Russian army, propaganda always seeks to expose the case so that in a particular sector of the front, not the military personnel failed, but Russian volunteers and mobilized from the self-proclaimed republics.

This is how it happened when the APU broke through the front in the Kharkiv region, eventually liberating Balakleya, Izyum, Kupyansk and many other settlements. Then the Russian media reported that the front line was held there by mobilized from the LPR and soldiers of the Rosgvardiya from Bashkortostan and Samara. Only a few days later it turned out that marines from the Kaliningrad region were captured there.

The official Russian military commanders told about the defenders of the Estuary in similar intonations: "It is immediately clear from them that these are ordinary workers of the war, on whom the fronts have been held throughout our history. No show-offs, excesses in equipment, false bravado," Alexander Kotz from Komsomolskaya Pravda wrote about the military defending the city, specifying that these were volunteers from the Bars-13 detachment, Cossacks, mobilized residents of the self-proclaimed LNR and the 20th army.

The Rybar telegram channel, specializing in military topics, clarified the composition of the defenders of the Estuary: "503 Guards motorized rifle regiment from the 19th motorized rifle Division of the 58th combined arms army." The pro-Russian channel "Older than Edda" wrote: "The Estuary is defended not only by the Kuban LEOPARD, but also by the regular army."

And a former journalist of the Russian pro-Kremlin Lifenews channel and the author of the Wargonzo project, Semyon Pegov, told those gathered on Red Square in honor of the annexation of the occupied territories of Ukraine that the Estuary was defended by "Smolensk Infantry, "Leopard volunteers, "Russian Legion, commandants who do not leave the city."

From the obituaries that have appeared in recent days and conversations with relatives of the victims, it became clear that, in addition to those mobilized from the self-proclaimed republics and volunteers, the GRU special forces also tried (unsuccessfully) to hold the Estuary.

In the USSR, GRU special forces were used to carry out the most important secret operations and sabotage behind enemy lines.

NY Times 'election truthers' scorned

Funny column by Igor Chudov
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/were-election-conspiracy-theorists?

Monday, October 3, 2022

Another head rolls -- but not 'General' Putin's

As Russia contends with disastrous setbacks in the Ukraine war, another top commander was ousted by Dictator Vladimir Putin's Kremlin, a Russian news outlet reports.

The Ukraine "special military operation" has seen many of Putin's generals killed or cashiered.

The dictator has been micromanaging the battlefield from Moscow, according to various reports, though it his generals who are unceremoniously booted when crisis hits. The dictator is shielded from accountability by an iron curtain of official and media silence, though that curtain sometimes parts, showing who is really responsible for the disastrous Ukraine operation.

Alert reporters for Russia's RBC news site unearthed that the title of commander of the Western Military District, as of Oct. 2, no longer belongs to Col. Gen. Alexander Zhuravlev, a Putin-designated "hero of Russia." Though Russia's defense ministry web site still lists Zhuravlev as western district commander, Lt. Gen. Roman Berdnikov has taken the reins of the western district, RBC news reported, citing a source familiar with the matter.  

Zhuravlev became head of the forces of the western district in the fall of 2018. In the same year, by decree of Putin, he was awarded the title of Hero of Russia. During his service, the career soldier also received other state awards, including for the Order of Merit for the Fatherland.

In May, Zhuravlev presented awards to military personnel for displaying courage and heroism during the "special military operation" in Ukraine.

Berdnikov, Zhuralev's replacement, has  commanded the combined arms formation of the Eastern Military District and led Russian troops in Syria.
Kirill Sokolov and Petr Kanaev broke this story.

Sunday, October 2, 2022

When will Russia's women be called up to fight?

When will Russia's women be called up to fight?

That question arises in light of the fact that Ukraine has considerably enhanced its combat power by accepting women into the combat arms.

At present, Russia has a force estimated at less than 100,000 men that is being heavily pressed by Ukraine's 700,000-person army. As it is obvious that Dictator Vladimir Putin and the ultra-nationalists, who dream of the imagined glory days of czarist empire and Soviet hegemony, are unable to accept the fact that they have overreached, it seems more than plausible that the Kremlin will order Russia's daughters, wives and mothers into the combat arms.

Is such an idea beyond credible? Consider that "partial mobilization" came as a complete shock to the Russian public. When someone like Putin is backed into a corner by his own foolhardiness, all bets are off. He will stop at nothing in order to avert personal humiliation. Hence, Russian women should brace themselves for the possibility that it will soon be their turn to become cannon fodder for the meat grinder called east Ukraine.

Some may argue that Putin is a defender of traditional Russian morality and wouldn't make such a move. But how did he say in his speech he was prepared to defend such Russian values? With nuclear weapons! That's not morality; that's madness.

So, again, Russian women should not assume that they won't be called up to face a grim destiny in Ukraine.

Saturday, October 1, 2022

Pro-Kremlin paper rips handling of Lyman fiasco

Some bloodied Russians barely escape trap
as 'General' Putin is forced to permit pull-out;
Russia now holds less than it did before war
Some Russian troopers managed to fight their way out of Lyman, a key town in eastern Ukraine that lies in one of the four Ukrainian regions Russia is annexing.

"In connection with the creation of a threat of encirclement, the allied troops were withdrawn from the settlement of Krasny Lyman to more favourable lines," Russia's Defense Ministry said in its daily briefing.

A first-person account from a Russian newspaper, Komsomolskaya Pravda, said that, as had happened at Kharkiv, Ukrainians "threw huge forces at the Russian garrison, literally cutting through our defenses." The writer added that military units of some 23,000 Ukrainians attacked the encircled Russians, who were heavily outnumbered.

The reporter, Alexander Kots, wrote:

"First, the Ukrainians, together with foreign mercenaries, cut the highway to Svatovo; then they took control of the artery connecting with Kremennaya. Kyiv even withdrew part of its troops from Seversk and from near Belogorovka, putting it all in. And this bet played, albeit at the cost of large-scale losses."

No evidence of major causalties has been offered to the public, though the Russian military said that, though greatly outnumbered, its breakout forces Saturday killed more than 200 Ukraine soldiers and destroyed five tanks and nine infantry fighting vehicles.

The reporter said the Russian troopers had fought heroically but -- without naming "General" Vladimir Putin -- chastised Russian authorities for military bungling, citing insufficient force strength, "errors in the organization of defense" and "reserrves that arrived late."

In a tone of disgust, the newspaper wrote that the "reasons for what happened are typical," having been "talked about after leaving [in a chaotic retreat] the Kharkiv region."

Kots wrote:

"A column of trucks crouched sadly on the side of the road. Dirty peasants with empty eyes smoked thoughtfully, spitting through their teeth. They smelled of sweat and gunpowder. One of the units had just left the Krasny Liman with a fight, breaking through Torskoye to Kremennaya. We had to leave this city so that a large group would not be surrounded."

Also:

"The risk of encirclement and shameful captivity became too great, and the Russian command decided to withdraw troops," Kots said. "The retreat was phased, but the last units actually broke through the blockade, with battles. There were no troops left in Lyman."

CNN's military analyst, Air Force Col. Cedric Leighton, said today that Russia now holds less Ukrainian territory than it did prior to the invasion, meaning that Russia's great sacrifice of young men had gone for nought.

Videos circulating online earlier in the day showed Ukrainian forces on the outskirts of the town.

“Ukrainian Air Assault Forces are entering Lyman,” Ukraine’s Defense Ministry wrote in a Twitter post.

A key supply hub for Russian forces, the stronghold of Lyman has been the site of fierce fighting in recent weeks as Ukraine seeks to press forward with its counteroffensive.

While Ukrainian officials said Saturday that thousands of Russian soldiers were "encircled" in the town, which had a pre-war population of 20,000, it was unclear whether Russian soldiers were actually trapped, or whether they had managed to escape.

The Russian decision to withdraw from Lyman led to immediate criticism from Kremlin allies.

Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov posted on the messaging app Telegram that, if it was his decision, he would demote the commander in charge of the Lyman operation, "strip him of his medals and send him to the front with a rifle to wash away his humilation in blood."

Lyman is part of Ukraine's Donetsk region, which Putin announced Friday would be one of four Ukrainian territories annexed to Russia.

The annexation is expected to be officially approved by Russia's parliament next week.

Following the recapture of Kharkiv region from Russia earlier this month, Ukrainian forces have been pressuring Lyman from the northwest via the small town of Drobysheve and from the southeast through the village of Dibrova.

Kadyrov also called on the Kremlin to consider using tactical nuclear missiles against Ukraine in the wake of the loss of Lyman.

"We need to take more serious steps, up to and including imposing martial law in border regions and using tactical nuclear weapons," he said.

A top Kremlin official said that Kadryov was being "expressive" in the heat of the moment, but that his words should not be taken as representing the Kremlin, though in fact Kadryov's sentiments strongly reflect those aired by Putin.

Komsomolskaya Pravda is owned by Media Partner, which in turn is owned by ESN Group, an energy company led by the powerful pro-Kremlin oligarch Grigory Berezkin, who has close links to Gazprom.

The Denver Gazette reported in March that Komsomolskaya Pravda, a "pro-Kremlin tabloid in Russia, owned by an oligarch, published and then deleted on Monday a report citing Russia's defense ministry that said its troop losses in Ukraine were approaching 10,000 killed in action."

Friday, September 30, 2022

Russia faces invasion by transvestite horde -- Putin

Dictator Vladimir Putin told Russia that the Ukraine war is justified in order to prevent a transvestite horde from taking over Russia.

"Do we really want ... it drilled into children in our schools ... that there are supposedly genders besides women and men, and [children to be] offered the chance to undergo sex change operations?” "Mad Vlad" asserted that Western elites wished to impose a Satanic religion on the citizenry. “This is a complete denial of humanity, the overthrow of faith and traditional values. Indeed, the suppression of freedom itself has taken on the features of a religion: outright Satanism.”

In order to thwart an invasion of transvestite priests, "Mad Vlad" spoke out in favor of the use of nuclear weapons, arguing that the United States had used atomic bombs on Japan eight decades ago. He also brought up actions of the "Anglo-Saxons" in the 19th Century -- when cultural values were much different worldwide -- without speaking of the czarist era oppressions.

The fact that in the United States there is a fierce debate over whether schoolchildren should be permitted free choice on "sex change" decisions has been taken by Putin to mean that, if Russia doesn't win in Ukraine, legions of transvestites will be empowered in Russia, an idea that has a certain plausibility if it is assumed that Russia couldn't possibly resist such cultural inroads should the "special military operation" fail.

Putin's tenuous hold on reality is demonstrated by his playing general as the military situation deteriorates, as a Reuters report linked below indicates:

Encircled Russian stronghold faces destruction


But Mad Vlad won't negotiate safe conduct for troops;
'annexed region' about to be overrun by Ukrainians

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukrainian-forces-encircling-russian-units-around-lyman-stronghold-spokesperson-2022-09-30/

Petersens to Europe