Sunday, December 4, 2022

Has Bad Vlad torpedoed Goal 13?

Goal 13 is the climate action aim of UN Agenda 30. The idea is that nations must implement major energy-use changes in order to avert imminent environmental terrors. A rush to slam the lid on fossil fuels will have harsh effects on billions of people. Have realistic cost-benefit analyses been done on UN Agenda 30 goals? If so, they aren't available to the average inquirer.

Of course, Vladimir Putin's war against Ukraine has resulted in a severe natural gas shortage in Europe. Germans are already burning a lot of wood, which tosses far more carbon into the atmosphere than other biologically based fuels, such as gas and oil.

Thus it's quite possible that the Ukraine war has already sunk the aspirations of the New World Order crowd to use climate concerns as a wedge issue for stampeding the peoples of the world into a "kinder, better" form of feudalism "for their own good."

UN makes strong claims but is the science solid?
https://www.unep.org/explore-topics/sustainable-development-goals/why-do-sustainable-development-goals-matter/goal-13

Sounds impressive, but is it really so?
https://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Goal-13.pdf

Consider the UN assertion:

✓ Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events such as heat waves, droughts, floods and tropical cyclones, aggravating water management problems, reducing agricultural production and food security, increasing health risks, damaging critical infrastructure and interrupting the provision of basic services such water and sanitation, education, energy and transport.
This claim is believed to be true by a number of climate experts, with others saying the data cannot support such conjectures.
The UN cites these stats:

✓ From 1880 to 2012, average global temperature increased by 0.85°C
This figure is not as clear-cut as it might seem. But even if the figure is accurate, it is well within the range of routine global climate swings that have occurred in the last millenium.
✓ Oceans have warmed, the amounts of snow and ice have diminished and sea level has risen. From 1901 to 2010, the global average sea level rose by 19 cm as oceans expanded. The Arctic’s sea ice extent has shrunk in every successive decade since 1979.
But sea ice records are in general hazy from before the 1970s, a decade noted as unusually cold for North America.
✓ Global emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) have increased by almost 50 percent since 1990.
At 421 parts per million, CO2 is now 50 percent higher than at pre-industrial levels, according to Scripps Institute and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Institute scientists. We see what looks to be a substantial discrepancy in the UN and U.S. expert figures.

CO2 jumped 50% between now and 1990 or now and the 18th Century?

According to NOAA and Scripps, "Prior to the Industrial Revolution, CO2 levels were consistently around 280 ppm for almost 6,000 years of human civilization. Since then, humans have generated an estimated 1.5 trillion tons of CO2 pollution, much of which will continue to warm the atmosphere for thousands of years."
Not all climatologists agree that CO2 is a true pollutant. Nor do they agree that more and more CO2 means more and more warming, with at least one prominent expert arguing that CO2 affects atmospheric temperature following a law of diminishing returns.
✓ Emissions grew more quickly between 2000 and 2010 than in each of the three previous decades

The UN gives these goals:

✓ Target 13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards and natural disasters in all countries
How is this to be done?
✓ Target 13.2: Integrate climate change measures into national policies, strategies and planning
What climate change measures should be adopted?
✓ Target 13.3: Improve education, awareness-raising and human and institutional capacity on climate change mitigation, adaptation, impact reduction and early warning ✓Target 13.a: Implement the commitment undertaken by developed-country parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change to a goal of mobilizing jointly $100 billion annually by 2020 from all sources to address the needs of developing countries in the context of meaningful mitigation actions and transparency on implementation and fully operationalize the Green Climate Fund through its capitalization as soon as possible.
Does this mean depriving under-developed countries of fossil fuels in such a way as the cost-benefit analyses imply great suffering for these populations?
✓ Target 13.b: Promote mechanisms for raising capacity for effective climate change-related planning and management in least developed countries and small island developing States, including focusing on women, youth and local and marginalized communities.
UN claims are simplistically presented to general readers
 

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